GEAS ASSESSMENT OF CATEGORY 3/QUARANTINE
Category 3 sought to disrupt efforts to fight ReDS -- and to fight the Quarantine superthreat more broadly -- by undermining efforts to treat the disease, and by attacking ReDS communities. Although Category 3 was stopped before it could unleash the worst of these attacks, GEAS analysis suggests that Category 3's attacks reduced the overall survival horizon by 2%. If Category 3 had been successful with its intended assaults, GEAS believes that the overall survival horizon may have been reduced by as much as 25%.
Notably, the GEAS analysis concludes that the arrest of Category 3 membership does not counter the shortening of the survival horizon. In fact, in nearly a third of the scenarios examined by GEAS, the arrests actually make the situation worse, reducing the survival horizon by 7% in total. This appears to depend upon the amount of information available to the public about the Category 3 terrorists, and the efforts to counter their attacks: The less information made available, the more public fears and rumor can be stoked. GEAS recommends that the extent -- and limitations -- of Category 3's plans not be hidden from the public.