GEAS ASSESSMENT OF SUPERSTRUCT/POWER STRUGGLE


Power Struggle has been considered by most observers to be the most challenging superthreat, largely because its true impact can be elusive. The threat coming from Power Struggle isn't precisely about energy generation, but about energy access. Increasing the sources and diversity of energy supplies won't resolve the Power Struggle superthreat on their own; such notions need to be coupled to new models of distribution and efficiency of use.

 

The plurality of superstructures created to respond to Power Struggle have focused on generation, not distribution. GEAS models suggest that the extension of the survival horizon from these superstructures is highly contingent: If the other superthreats can be managed, the Power Struggle superstructures are likely to provide a healthy extension to the survival horizon; if the other superthreats remain problematic, the Power Struggle superstructures will provide very little help at all.